Once the nominees are announced on January 10th, 2013, and once I embark on my annual Oscar Challenge, I will use the below boxes to list a progression of what I think will win based on a number of factors (history, other award ceremonies, general consensus, etc.) and also a list of what I think should win. This is much like the ballot that Academy Award members would fill out. Please stay tuned…

BEST PICTURE

WILL WIN:
1. “Argo”
2. “Lincoln”
3. “Life Of Pi”
4. “Silver Linings Playbook”
5. “Amour”
6. “Zero Dark Thirty”
7. “Beasts of the Southern Wild”
8. “Les Miserables”
9. “Django Unchained”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Lincoln”
2. “Argo”
3. “Silver Linings Playbook”
4. “Zero Dark Thirty”
5. “Life Of Pi”
6. “Les Miserables”
7. “Django Unchained”
8. “Amour”
9. “Beasts of the Southern Wild”

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

WILL WIN:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln”
2. Hugh Jackman, “Les Miserables”
3. Denzel Washington, “Flight”
4. Joaquin Phoenix, “The Master”
5. Bradley Cooper, “Silver Linings Playbook”
SHOULD WIN:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln”
2. Denzel Washington, “Flight”
3. Joaquin Phoenix, “The Master”
4. Hugh Jackman, “Les Miserables”
5. Bradley Cooper, “Silver Linings Playbook”

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

WILL WIN:
1. Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook”
2. Emmanuelle Riva, “Amour”
3. Jessica Chastain, “Zero Dark Thirty”
4. Naomi Watts, “The Impossible”
5. Quvenzhane Wallis, “Beasts of the Southern Wild”
SHOULD WIN:
1. Jessica Chastain, “Zero Dark Thirty”
2. Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook”
3. Emmanuelle Riva, “Amour”
4. Naomi Watts, “The Impossible”
5. Quvenzhane Wallis, “Beasts of the Southern Wild”

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

WILL WIN:
1. Tommy Lee Jones, “Lincoln”
2. Christoph Waltz, “Django Unchained”
3. Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Master”
4. Alan Arkin, “Argo”
5. Robert De Niro, “Silver Linings Playbook”
SHOULD WIN:
1. Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Master”
2. Christoph Waltz, “Django Unchained”
3. Tommy Lee Jones, “Lincoln”
4. Robert De Niro, “Silver Linings Playbook”
5. Alan Arkin, “Argo”

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

WILL WIN:
1. Anne Hathaway, “Les Miserables”
2. Sally Field, “Lincoln”
3. Amy Adams, “The Master”
4. Jacki Weaver, “Silver Linings Playbook”
5. Helen Hunt, “The Sessions”
SHOULD WIN:
1. Anne Hathaway, “Les Miserables”
2. Sally Field, “Lincoln”
3. Amy Adams, “The Master”
4. Jacki Weaver, “Silver Linings Playbook”
5. Helen Hunt, “The Sessions”

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

WILL WIN:
1. “Wreck-It Ralph”
2. “Brave”
3. “ParaNorman”
4. “Frankenweenie”
5. “The Pirates! Band Of Misfits”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Brave”
2. “Wreck-It Ralph”
3. “ParaNorman”
4. “Frankenweenie”
5.”The Pirates! Band Of Misfits”

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

WILL WIN:
1. “Life Of Pi”; Claudio Miranda
2. “Skyfall”; Roger Deakins
3. “Lincoln”; Janusz Kaminski
4. “Django Unchained”; Robert Richardson
5. “Anna Karenina”; Seamus McGarvey
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Skyfall”; Roger Deakins
2. “Life Of Pi”; Claudio Miranda
3. “Lincoln”; Janusz Kaminski
4. “Django Unchained”; Robert Richardson
5. “Anna Karenina”; Seamus McGarvey

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

WILL WIN:
1. “Anna Karenina”; Jacqueline Durran
2. “Les Miserables”; Paco Delgado
3. “Lincoln”; Joanna Johnston
4. “Mirror Mirror”; Eiko Ishioka
5. “Snow White and the Huntsman”; Colleen Atwood
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Anna Karenina”; Jacqueline Durran
2. “Les Miserables”; Paco Delgado
3. “Lincoln”; Joanna Johnston
4. “Mirror Mirror”; Eiko Ishioka
5. “Snow White and the Huntsman”; Colleen Atwood

 BEST DIRECTING

WILL WIN:
1. Steven Spielberg, “Lincoln”
2. Ang Lee, “Life Of Pi”
3. David O. Russell, “Silver Linings Playbook”
4. Michael Haneke, “Amour”
5. Benh Zeitlin, “Beasts Of The Southern Wild”
SHOULD WIN:
1. Steven Spielberg, “Lincoln”
2. David O. Russell, “Silver Linings Playbook”
3. Ang Lee, “Life Of Pi”
4. Michael Haneke, “Amour”
5. Benh Zeitlin, “Beasts Of The Southern Wild”

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

WILL WIN:
1. “Searching For Sugar Man”
2. “The Invisible War”
3. “The Gatekeepers”
4. “5 Broken Cameras”
5. “How To Survive A Plague”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “5 Broken Cameras”
2. “Searching For Sugar Man”
3. “The Gatekeepers”
4. “How To Survive A Plague”
5. “The Invisible War”

BEST DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)

WILL WIN:
1. “Open Heart”
2. “Inocente”
3. “Mondays At Racine”
4. “King’s Point”
5. “Redemption”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Inocente”
2. “Open Heart”
3. “Redemption”
4. “King’s Point”
5. “Mondays At Racine”

BEST FILM EDITING

WILL WIN:
1. “Argo”; William Goldenberg
2. “Lincoln”; Michael Kahn
3. “Zero Dark Thirty”; Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg
4. “Life Of Pi”; Tim Squyres
5. “Silver Linings Playbook”; Jay Cassidy & Crispin Struthers
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Argo”; William Goldenberg
2. “Lincoln”; Michael Kahn
3. “Zero Dark Thirty”; Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg
4. “Life Of Pi”; Tim Squyres
5. “Silver Linings Playbook”; Jay Cassidy & Crispin Struthers

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

WILL WIN:
1. “Amour”; Austria
2. “A Royal Affair”; Denmark
3. “No”; Chile
4. “Kon-Tiki”; Norway
5. “War Witch”; Canada
SHOULD WIN:
1. “A Royal Affair”; Denmark
2. “Kon-Tiki”; Norway
3. “Amour”; Austria
4. “War Witch”; Canada
5. “No”; Chile

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

WILL WIN:
1. “Les Miserables”
2. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
3. “Hitchcock”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
2. “Les Miserables”
3. “Hitchcock”

BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

WILL WIN:
1. “Life of Pi,” Mychael Danna
2. “Skyfall”; Thomas Newman
3. “Lincoln,” John Williams
4. “Argo,” Alexandre Desplat
5. “Anna Karenina,” Dario Marianelli
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Skyfall”; Thomas Newman
2. “Life of Pi,” Mychael Danna
3. “Lincoln,” John Williams
4. “Anna Karenina,” Dario Marianelli
5. “Argo,” Alexandre Desplat

BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

WILL WIN:
1. “Skyfall” from “Skyfall”
2. “Pi’s Lullaby” from “Life of Pi”
3. “Suddenly” from “Les Miserables”
4. “Before My Time” from “Chasing Ice”
5. “Everybody Needs A Best Friend” from “Ted”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Skyfall” from “Skyfall”
2. “Before My Time” from “Chasing Ice”
3. “Everybody Needs A Best Friend” from “Ted”
4. “Pi’s Lullaby” from “Life of Pi”
5. “Suddenly” from “Les Miserables”

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

WILL WIN:
1. “Anna Karenina”
2. “Les Miserables”
3. “Lincoln”
4. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
5. “Life Of Pi”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Anna Karenina”
2. “Lincoln”
3. “Les Miserables”
4. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
5. “Life Of Pi”

BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

WILL WIN:
1. “Paperman”
2. “Adam and Dog”
3. “Maggie Simpson in the Longest Daycare”
4. “Head Over Heels”
5. “Fresh Guacamole”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Paperman”
2. “Adam and Dog”
3. “Maggie Simpson in the Longest Daycare”
4. “Fresh Guacamole”
5. “Head Over Heels”

BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

WILL WIN:
1. “Curfew”
2. “Henry”
3. “Asad”
4. “Buzkashi Boys”
5. “Death Of A Shadow”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Curfew”
2. “Death Of A Shadow”
3. “Henry”
4. “Asad”
5. “Buzkashi Boys”

BEST SOUND EDITING

WILL WIN:
1. “Zero Dark Thirty”
2. “Life Of Pi”
3. “Skyfall”
4. “Django Unchained”
5. “Argo”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Skyfall”
2. “Zero Dark Thirty”
3. “Life Of Pi”
4. “Django Unchained”
5. “Argo”

BEST SOUND MIXING

WILL WIN:
1. “Les Miserables”
2. “Life Of Pi”
3. “Skyfall”
4. “Lincoln”
5. “Argo”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Les Miserables”
2. “Skyfall”
3. “Life Of Pi”
4. “Lincoln”
5. “Argo”

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

WILL WIN:
1. “Life Of Pi”
2. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
3. “Marvel’s The Avengers”
4. “Prometheus”
5. “Snow White and the Huntsman”
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Life Of Pi”
2. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
3. “Prometheus”
4. “Marvel’s The Avengers”
5. “Snow White and the Huntsman”

BEST WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

WILL WIN:
1. “Argo”; Chris Terio
2. “Lincoln”; Tom Kushner
3. “Silver Linings Playbook”; David O. Russell
4. “Life Of Pi”; David Magee
5. “Beasts of the Southern Wild”; Lucy Alibar & Benh Zeitlin
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Lincoln”; Tom Kushner
2. “Argo”; Chris Terio
3. “Silver Linings Playbook”; David O. Russell
4. “Life Of Pi”; David Magee
5. “Beasts of the Southern Wild”; Lucy Alibar & Benh Zeitlin

BEST WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

WILL WIN:
1. “Zero Dark Thirty”; Mark Boal
2. “Django Unchained”; Quentin Tarantino
3. “Amour”; Michael Haneke
4. “Flight”; John Gatins
5. “Moonrise Kingdom”; Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
SHOULD WIN:
1. “Django Unchained”; Quentin Tarantino
2. “Moonrise Kingdom”; Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
3. “Flight”; John Gatins
4. “Zero Dark Thirty”; Mark Boal
5. “Amour”; Michael Haneke

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