Once the nominees are announced on January 10th, 2013, and once I embark on my annual Oscar Challenge, I will use the below boxes to list a progression of what I think will win based on a number of factors (history, other award ceremonies, general consensus, etc.) and also a list of what I think should win. This is much like the ballot that Academy Award members would fill out. Please stay tuned…
BEST PICTURE
| WILL WIN: 1. “Argo” 2. “Lincoln” 3. “Life Of Pi” 4. “Silver Linings Playbook” 5. “Amour” 6. “Zero Dark Thirty” 7. “Beasts of the Southern Wild” 8. “Les Miserables” 9. “Django Unchained” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Lincoln” 2. “Argo” 3. “Silver Linings Playbook” 4. “Zero Dark Thirty” 5. “Life Of Pi” 6. “Les Miserables” 7. “Django Unchained” 8. “Amour” 9. “Beasts of the Southern Wild” |
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
| WILL WIN: 1. Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln” 2. Hugh Jackman, “Les Miserables” 3. Denzel Washington, “Flight” 4. Joaquin Phoenix, “The Master” 5. Bradley Cooper, “Silver Linings Playbook” | SHOULD WIN: 1. Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln” 2. Denzel Washington, “Flight” 3. Joaquin Phoenix, “The Master” 4. Hugh Jackman, “Les Miserables” 5. Bradley Cooper, “Silver Linings Playbook” |
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
| WILL WIN: 1. Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook” 2. Emmanuelle Riva, “Amour” 3. Jessica Chastain, “Zero Dark Thirty” 4. Naomi Watts, “The Impossible” 5. Quvenzhane Wallis, “Beasts of the Southern Wild” | SHOULD WIN: 1. Jessica Chastain, “Zero Dark Thirty” 2. Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook” 3. Emmanuelle Riva, “Amour” 4. Naomi Watts, “The Impossible” 5. Quvenzhane Wallis, “Beasts of the Southern Wild” |
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
| WILL WIN: 1. Tommy Lee Jones, “Lincoln” 2. Christoph Waltz, “Django Unchained” 3. Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Master” 4. Alan Arkin, “Argo” 5. Robert De Niro, “Silver Linings Playbook” | SHOULD WIN: 1. Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Master” 2. Christoph Waltz, “Django Unchained” 3. Tommy Lee Jones, “Lincoln” 4. Robert De Niro, “Silver Linings Playbook” 5. Alan Arkin, “Argo” |
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
| WILL WIN: 1. Anne Hathaway, “Les Miserables” 2. Sally Field, “Lincoln” 3. Amy Adams, “The Master” 4. Jacki Weaver, “Silver Linings Playbook” 5. Helen Hunt, “The Sessions” | SHOULD WIN: 1. Anne Hathaway, “Les Miserables” 2. Sally Field, “Lincoln” 3. Amy Adams, “The Master” 4. Jacki Weaver, “Silver Linings Playbook” 5. Helen Hunt, “The Sessions” |
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
| WILL WIN: 1. “Wreck-It Ralph” 2. “Brave” 3. “ParaNorman” 4. “Frankenweenie” 5. “The Pirates! Band Of Misfits” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Brave” 2. “Wreck-It Ralph” 3. “ParaNorman” 4. “Frankenweenie” 5.”The Pirates! Band Of Misfits” |
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
| WILL WIN: 1. “Life Of Pi”; Claudio Miranda 2. “Skyfall”; Roger Deakins 3. “Lincoln”; Janusz Kaminski 4. “Django Unchained”; Robert Richardson 5. “Anna Karenina”; Seamus McGarvey | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Skyfall”; Roger Deakins 2. “Life Of Pi”; Claudio Miranda 3. “Lincoln”; Janusz Kaminski 4. “Django Unchained”; Robert Richardson 5. “Anna Karenina”; Seamus McGarvey |
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
| WILL WIN: 1. “Anna Karenina”; Jacqueline Durran 2. “Les Miserables”; Paco Delgado 3. “Lincoln”; Joanna Johnston 4. “Mirror Mirror”; Eiko Ishioka 5. “Snow White and the Huntsman”; Colleen Atwood | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Anna Karenina”; Jacqueline Durran 2. “Les Miserables”; Paco Delgado 3. “Lincoln”; Joanna Johnston 4. “Mirror Mirror”; Eiko Ishioka 5. “Snow White and the Huntsman”; Colleen Atwood |
BEST DIRECTING
| WILL WIN: 1. Steven Spielberg, “Lincoln” 2. Ang Lee, “Life Of Pi” 3. David O. Russell, “Silver Linings Playbook” 4. Michael Haneke, “Amour” 5. Benh Zeitlin, “Beasts Of The Southern Wild” | SHOULD WIN: 1. Steven Spielberg, “Lincoln” 2. David O. Russell, “Silver Linings Playbook” 3. Ang Lee, “Life Of Pi” 4. Michael Haneke, “Amour” 5. Benh Zeitlin, “Beasts Of The Southern Wild” |
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
| WILL WIN: 1. “Searching For Sugar Man” 2. “The Invisible War” 3. “The Gatekeepers” 4. “5 Broken Cameras” 5. “How To Survive A Plague” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “5 Broken Cameras” 2. “Searching For Sugar Man” 3. “The Gatekeepers” 4. “How To Survive A Plague” 5. “The Invisible War” |
BEST DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)
| WILL WIN: 1. “Open Heart” 2. “Inocente” 3. “Mondays At Racine” 4. “King’s Point” 5. “Redemption” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Inocente” 2. “Open Heart” 3. “Redemption” 4. “King’s Point” 5. “Mondays At Racine” |
BEST FILM EDITING
| WILL WIN: 1. “Argo”; William Goldenberg 2. “Lincoln”; Michael Kahn 3. “Zero Dark Thirty”; Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg 4. “Life Of Pi”; Tim Squyres 5. “Silver Linings Playbook”; Jay Cassidy & Crispin Struthers | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Argo”; William Goldenberg 2. “Lincoln”; Michael Kahn 3. “Zero Dark Thirty”; Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg 4. “Life Of Pi”; Tim Squyres 5. “Silver Linings Playbook”; Jay Cassidy & Crispin Struthers |
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE
| WILL WIN: 1. “Amour”; Austria 2. “A Royal Affair”; Denmark 3. “No”; Chile 4. “Kon-Tiki”; Norway 5. “War Witch”; Canada | SHOULD WIN: 1. “A Royal Affair”; Denmark 2. “Kon-Tiki”; Norway 3. “Amour”; Austria 4. “War Witch”; Canada 5. “No”; Chile |
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
| WILL WIN: 1. “Les Miserables” 2. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey” 3. “Hitchcock” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey” 2. “Les Miserables” 3. “Hitchcock” |
BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
| WILL WIN: 1. “Life of Pi,” Mychael Danna 2. “Skyfall”; Thomas Newman 3. “Lincoln,” John Williams 4. “Argo,” Alexandre Desplat 5. “Anna Karenina,” Dario Marianelli | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Skyfall”; Thomas Newman 2. “Life of Pi,” Mychael Danna 3. “Lincoln,” John Williams 4. “Anna Karenina,” Dario Marianelli 5. “Argo,” Alexandre Desplat |
BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
| WILL WIN: 1. “Skyfall” from “Skyfall” 2. “Pi’s Lullaby” from “Life of Pi” 3. “Suddenly” from “Les Miserables” 4. “Before My Time” from “Chasing Ice” 5. “Everybody Needs A Best Friend” from “Ted” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Skyfall” from “Skyfall” 2. “Before My Time” from “Chasing Ice” 3. “Everybody Needs A Best Friend” from “Ted” 4. “Pi’s Lullaby” from “Life of Pi” 5. “Suddenly” from “Les Miserables” |
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
| WILL WIN: 1. “Anna Karenina” 2. “Les Miserables” 3. “Lincoln” 4. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey” 5. “Life Of Pi” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Anna Karenina” 2. “Lincoln” 3. “Les Miserables” 4. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey” 5. “Life Of Pi” |
BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
| WILL WIN: 1. “Paperman” 2. “Adam and Dog” 3. “Maggie Simpson in the Longest Daycare” 4. “Head Over Heels” 5. “Fresh Guacamole” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Paperman” 2. “Adam and Dog” 3. “Maggie Simpson in the Longest Daycare” 4. “Fresh Guacamole” 5. “Head Over Heels” |
BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
| WILL WIN: 1. “Curfew” 2. “Henry” 3. “Asad” 4. “Buzkashi Boys” 5. “Death Of A Shadow” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Curfew” 2. “Death Of A Shadow” 3. “Henry” 4. “Asad” 5. “Buzkashi Boys” |
BEST SOUND EDITING
| WILL WIN: 1. “Zero Dark Thirty” 2. “Life Of Pi” 3. “Skyfall” 4. “Django Unchained” 5. “Argo” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Skyfall” 2. “Zero Dark Thirty” 3. “Life Of Pi” 4. “Django Unchained” 5. “Argo” |
BEST SOUND MIXING
| WILL WIN: 1. “Les Miserables” 2. “Life Of Pi” 3. “Skyfall” 4. “Lincoln” 5. “Argo” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Les Miserables” 2. “Skyfall” 3. “Life Of Pi” 4. “Lincoln” 5. “Argo” |
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
| WILL WIN: 1. “Life Of Pi” 2. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey” 3. “Marvel’s The Avengers” 4. “Prometheus” 5. “Snow White and the Huntsman” | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Life Of Pi” 2. “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey” 3. “Prometheus” 4. “Marvel’s The Avengers” 5. “Snow White and the Huntsman” |
BEST WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
| WILL WIN: 1. “Argo”; Chris Terio 2. “Lincoln”; Tom Kushner 3. “Silver Linings Playbook”; David O. Russell 4. “Life Of Pi”; David Magee 5. “Beasts of the Southern Wild”; Lucy Alibar & Benh Zeitlin | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Lincoln”; Tom Kushner 2. “Argo”; Chris Terio 3. “Silver Linings Playbook”; David O. Russell 4. “Life Of Pi”; David Magee 5. “Beasts of the Southern Wild”; Lucy Alibar & Benh Zeitlin |
BEST WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
| WILL WIN: 1. “Zero Dark Thirty”; Mark Boal 2. “Django Unchained”; Quentin Tarantino 3. “Amour”; Michael Haneke 4. “Flight”; John Gatins 5. “Moonrise Kingdom”; Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola | SHOULD WIN: 1. “Django Unchained”; Quentin Tarantino 2. “Moonrise Kingdom”; Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola 3. “Flight”; John Gatins 4. “Zero Dark Thirty”; Mark Boal 5. “Amour”; Michael Haneke |








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