MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING SHORTLIST:

“Birds of Prey and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn”
“Emma”
“The Glorias”
“Hillbilly Elegy”
“Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey”
“The Little Things”
“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
“Mank”
“One Night in Miami…”
“Pinocchio”

On Saturday, March 6, the Academy’s Makeup Artists and Hairstylists Branch will convene to watch seven-minute excerpts from the ten films they shortlisted today. Among them will be some very widely known films which will ultimately end up with Best Picture nominations. Others are lesser known but could get in by their merits alone. That being said, until then, all we can do is predict which five will make the final cut.

Per the Academy’s press release:

Nominations voting begins on Friday, March 5, 2021, and concludes on Wednesday, March 10, 2021.
Nominations for the 93rd Academy Awards will be announced on Monday, March 15, 2021.
The 93rd Oscars® will be held on Sunday, April 25, 2021, and will be televised live on ABC and in more than 225 countries and territories worldwide.

OSCAR NOMINATION PREDICTIONS

“Birds of Prey and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn”
Warner Bros. Pictures

“Emma”
Focus Features

“Hillbilly Elegy”
Netflix

“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
Netflix

“Mank”
Netflix

“Pinocchio”
Vertigo Films

#1: “BIRDS OF PREY” — WARNER BROS. PICTURES

Word on Twitter is that Warner Bros has not been peddling “Birds Of Prey” for Oscar consideration. Normally, there’s a campaign of people pushing for films to get nominations. So there’s two ways to look at this. Perhaps it showed up here because people believed in it enough without a campaign behind it and it gets a nomination because of that love. Or it landed here and without a campaign, it won’t be able to score an actual nomination. I tend to believe, when the Academy’s Makeup Artists and Hairstylists Branch see it matched up with some of the other shortlisters, they’ll lean toward it one way or another.

#2: “EMMA” — FOCUS FEATURES

You may have noticed, I picked six films even though there’s only five spots available for nominees. That’s because I cannot decide. Now, I will decide before the nominations actually roll around, but for now I will stick with these six. The reason I can’t decide hinges on two films, one of them being “Emma.” Having seen it, I know the hair and makeup is great. Period films generally are looked kindly upon the Academy and there’s no real reason this film won’t show up in other categories as well, including Best Costume. My heart tells me to keep this one here, but there’s another film that puts it into question a little bit. And if one has to go, it might be this one.

#3: “HILLBILLY ELEGY” — NETFLIX

Before the shortlists landed, “Hillbilly Elegy” was probably the film I was hearing the most about in relation to the Best Makeup & Hairstyling category. That being said, it seems pretty likely to me that it will get a nomination. Not just that, I’ve heard multiple prognosticators express that it may even have a shot to win. With the work done on both Glenn Close and Amy Adams, this does have a strong case to go with it.

#4: “MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM” — NETFLIX

The makeup and hairstyling of “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” was so exceptional that after seeing it for the first time, I was sure it would grab a nomination in the category. Now, it’s on the shortlist and I’m becoming more confident in that prediction. With multiple acting nominations and possibly even a Best Picture nod, strong support for any film can give it a leg up in smaller categories and I think that might happen here.

#5: “MANK” — NETFLIX

Makeup for a black-and-white film is paramount. Hairstlying for a period piece is central. Both are on full display in “Mank” and, as just stated for “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom,” support for a film that will be garnering a lot of attention can be far reaching and enough to push certain nominations through in smaller categories. Color me surprised if this doesn’t get nominated.

#6: “PINOCCHIO” — VERTIGO FILMS

It’s hard to use “shocked” in regards to shortlist announcements. That descriptor is usually saved for Oscar nomination morning when the snubs come in full force. Today’s shock was not a snub, however, but instead an inclusion of a film that, to my best knowledge, wasn’t on anyone’s radar. In my limited experience, those are the films to keep an eye on because, even though no one was talking about them, they still found enough support to land themselves in a position of possibly making it to the big stage. It’s easy to see “Pinocchio” (2020) on a list of films and simply dismiss it. But when you look at the work actually being done, that alone might be enough to sway people to vote for the film. Let’s remember, “Bad Grandpa” was nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling so it doesn’t take much. The question of which film will get bumped for “Pinocchio” is why there are six films on this list instead of five. If I had to choose, it would likely end up being “Emma,” but as I can’t decide before sending this out, I’m going with six for now until I learn more to make a better prediction.

WHY I DON’T HAVE THE LAST FOUR

In my own good conscience, I just cannot bring myself to think “The Little Things” will get a nomination. Between the Golden Globes and the Screen Actors Guild, the sudden love for Jared Leto tells me that a nomination for the film in Makeup & Hairstyling is completely possible. But I just can’t do it. I have similar feelings toward “Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey,” which I thoroughly did not enjoy. Could it get a nomination? It’s entirely possible. Can I see past my own hatred toward the film? No…

“The Glorias” is a film I just haven’t seen yet. But prior to posting this, I perused all the films to see what they were offering in terms of hair and makeup. Nothing about “The Glorias” screamed Academy Award nomination to me. But again, it’s got a time period going for it. And with Julianne Moore, Alicia Vikander, and Bette Midler, it’s bound to be able to grab someone’s attention. “One Night In Miami” could be a contender that the Academy falls behind, but my gut’s telling me there’s not enough to get it a nomination. As always, I could easily be wrong, but these are simply my guesses.

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