No Bad Movie

"No good movie is too long and no bad movie is short enough." -Roger Ebert

The Rank (2011)

Below is a progression of the rank of which film I believe will win each category. By the end, I will have ranked all the films in the order I believe will win the Academy Award, and will make my predictions. All films start off as #1 in the progression and as I see more films, they will be moved up or down according to what I thought was better, so if you see some odd choices at #1, that is why…

BEST PICTURE

WILL WIN:
  1. “The King’s Speech”
  2. “The Social Network”
  3. “Black Swan”
  4. “True Grit”
  5. “The Fighter”
  6. “Inception”
  7. “127 Hours”
  8. “Toy Story 3”
  9. “Winter’s Bone”
  10. “The Kids Are All Right”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Inception”
  2. “True Grit”
  3. “The King’s Speech”
  4. “The Social Network”
  5. “Black Swan”
  6. “The Fighter”
  7. “127 Hours”
  8. “Winter’s Bone”
  9. “Toy Story 3”
  10. “The Kids Are All Right”

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

WILL WIN:
  1. Colin Firth — “The King’s Speech”
  2. Jesse Eisenberg — “The Social Network”
  3. Javier Bardem — “Biutiful”
  4. Jeff Bridges — “True Grit”
  5. James Franco — “127 Hours”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. Colin Firth — “The King’s Speech”
  2. Javier Bardem — “Biutiful”
  3. Jesse Eisenberg — “The Social Network”
  4. Jeff Bridges — “True Grit”
  5. James Franco — “127 Hours”

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

WILL WIN:
  1. Natalie Portman — “Black Swan”
  2. Annette Bening — “The Kids Are All Right”
  3. Michelle Williams — “Blue Valentine”
  4. Nicole Kidman — “Rabbit Hole”
  5. Jennifer Lawrence — “Winter’s Bone”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. Natalie Portman — “Black Swan”
  2. Michelle Williams — “Blue Valentine”
  3. Jennifer Lawrence — “Winter’s Bone”
  4. Nicole Kidman — “Rabbit Hole”
  5. Annette Bening — “The Kids Are All Right”

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

WILL WIN:
  1. Christian Bale — “The Fighter”
  2. Geoffrey Rush — “The King’s Speech”
  3. John Hawkes — “Winter’s Bone”
  4. Mark Ruffalo — “The Kids Are All Right”
  5. Jeremy Renner — “The Town”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. Christian Bale — “The Fighter”
  2. John Hawkes — “Winter’s Bone”
  3. Geoffrey Rush — “The King’s Speech”
  4. Jeremy Renner — “The Town”
  5. Mark Ruffalo — “The Kids Are All Right”

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

WILL WIN:
  1. Hailee Steinfeld — “True Grit”
  2. Melissa Leo — “The Fighter”
  3. Amy Adams — “The Fighter”
  4. Jacki Weaver — “Animal Kingdom”
  5. Helena Bonham Carter — “The King’s Speech”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. Hailee Steinfeld — “True Grit”
  2. Amy Adams — “The Fighter”
  3. Melissa Leo — “The Fighter”
  4. Jacki Weaver — “Animal Kingdom”
  5. Helena Bonham Carter — “The King’s Speech”

ANIMATED FEATURE

WILL WIN:
  1. “Toy Story 3”
  2. “How To Train Your Dragon”
  3. “The Illusionist”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Toy Story 3”
  2. “How To Train Your Dragon”
  3. “The Illusionist”

ART DIRECTION

WILL WIN:
  1. “The King’s Speech”
  2. “Alice In Wonderland”
  3. “True Grit”
  4. “Inception”
  5. “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 1”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Alice In Wonderland”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “True Grit”
  4. “Inception”
  5. “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 1”

CINEMATOGRAPHY

WILL WIN:
  1. “True Grit”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “The Social Network”
  4. “Inception”
  5. “Black Swan”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Black Swan”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “Inception”
  4. “True Grit”
  5. “The Social Network”

COSTUME DESIGN

WILL WIN:
  1. “Alice In Wonderland”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “True Grit”
  4. “I Am Love”
  5. —
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Alice In Wonderland”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “True Grit”
  4. “I Am Love”
  5. —

DIRECTOR

WILL WIN:
  1. Tom Hooper — “The King’s Speech”
  2. David Fincher — “The Social Network”
  3. Darren Aronofsky — “Black Swan”
  4. The Coen Brothers — “True Grit”
  5. David O. Russell — “The Fighter”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. David Fincher — “The Social Network”
  2. Tom Hooper — “The King’s Speech”
  3. Darren Aronofsky — “Black Swan”
  4. The Coen Brothers — “True Grit”
  5. David O. Russell — “The Fighter”

DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)

WILL WIN:
  1. “Restrepo”
  2. “Exit Through The Gift Shop”
  3. “GasLand”
  4. —
  5. —
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Restrepo”
  2. “Exit Through The Gift Shop”
  3. “GasLand”
  4. —
  5. —

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)

WILL WIN:
  1. —
  2. —
  3. —
  4. —
  5. —
SHOULD WIN:
  1. —
  2. —
  3. —
  4. —
  5. —

FILM EDITING

WILL WIN:
  1. “The Social Network”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “Black Swan”
  4. “127 Hours”
  5. “The Fighter”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “The Social Network”
  2. “Black Swan”
  3. “The King’s Speech”
  4. “127 Hours”
  5. “The Fighter”

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

WILL WIN:
  1. “Biutiful”
  2. “Dogtooth”
  3. —
  4. —
  5. —
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Dogtooth”
  2. “Biutiful”
  3. —
  4. —
  5. —

MAKEUP

WILL WIN:
  1. “The Wolfman”
  2. “Barney’s Version”
  3. “The Way Back”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Barney’s Version”
  2. “The Wolfman”
  3. “The Way Back”

ORIGINAL SCORE

WILL WIN:
  1. “The Social Network”
  2. “Inception”
  3. “The King’s Speech”
  4. “127 Hours”
  5. “How To Train Your Dragon”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “The Social Network”
  2. “Inception”
  3. “How To Train Your Dragon”
  4. “127 Hours”
  5. “The King’s Speech”

ORIGINAL SONG

WILL WIN:
  1. “We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3”
  2. “Coming Home” from “Country Strong”
  3. “I See The Light” from “Tangled”
  4. “If I Rise” from “127 Hours”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Coming Home” from “Country Strong”
  2. “I See The Light” from “Tangled”
  3. “We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3”
  4. “If I Rise” from “127 Hours”

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

WILL WIN:
  1. “Day and Night”
  2. —
  3. —
  4. —
  5. —
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Day and Night”
  2. —
  3. —
  4. —
  5. —

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

WILL WIN:
  1. —
  2. —
  3. —
  4. —
  5. —
SHOULD WIN:
  1. —
  2. —
  3. —
  4. —
  5. —

SOUND EDITING

WILL WIN:
  1. “Inception”
  2. “Tron: Legacy”
  3. “Toy Story 3”
  4. “Unstoppable”
  5. “True Grit”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Inception”
  2. “Unstoppable”
  3. “Toy Story 3”
  4. “Tron: Legacy”
  5. “True Grit”

SOUND MIXING

WILL WIN:
  1. “Inception”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “The Social Network”
  4. “True Grit”
  5. “Salt”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Inception”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “The Social Network”
  4. “True Grit”
  5. “Salt”

VISUAL EFFECTS

WILL WIN:
  1. “Inception”
  2. “Alice In Wonderland”
  3. “Iron Man 2”
  4. “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 1”
  5. “Hereafter”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Inception”
  2. “Iron Man 2”
  3. “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 1”
  4. “Alice In Wonderland”
  5. “Hereafter”

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

WILL WIN:
  1. “The Social Network”
  2. “True Grit”
  3. “Winter’s Bone”
  4. “127 Hours”
  5. “Toy Story 3”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “The Social Network”
  2. “True Grit”
  3. “Winter’s Bone”
  4. “127 Hours”
  5. “Toy Story 3”

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

WILL WIN:
  1. “The King’s Speech”
  2. “Inception”
  3. “The Fighter”
  4. “The Kids Are All Right”
  5. “Another Year”
SHOULD WIN:
  1. “Inception”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “The Fighter”
  4. “The Kids Are All Right”
  5. “Another Year”

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