"No good movie is too long and no bad movie is short enough." -Roger Ebert
The Rank (2015)
Once the nominees are announced on January 15th, 2015, and once I embark on my annual Oscar Challenge, I will use the below boxes to list a progression of what I think will win based on a number of factors (history, other award ceremonies, general consensus, etc.) and also a list of what I think should win. This is much like the ballot that Academy Award members would fill out.
BEST PICTURE
WILL WIN:
“Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)“
“Boyhood”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Selma”
***
SHOULD WIN:
“Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)“
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Selma”
“Boyhood”
***
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
WILL WIN:
Michael Keaton, “Birdman”
Steve Carrell, “Foxcatcher”
***
SHOULD WIN:
Michael Keaton, “Birdman”
Steve Carrell, “Foxcatcher”
***
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
WILL WIN:
Julianna Moore, “Still Alice”
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl”
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild”
Marion Cotillard, “Two Days, One Night”
***
SHOULD WIN:
Julianna Moore, “Still Alice”
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl”
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild”
Marion Cotillard, “Two Days, One Night”
***
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
WILL WIN:
Edward Norton, “Birdman”
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood”
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
Robert Duvall, “The Judge”
***
SHOULD WIN:
Edward Norton, “Birdman”
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood”
Robert Duvall, “The Judge”
***
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
WILL WIN:
Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
Emma Stone, “Birdman”
Meryl Streep, “Into The Woods”
Laura Dern, “Wild”
***
SHOULD WIN:
Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
Emma Stone, “Birdman”
Meryl Streep, “Into The Woods”
Laura Dern, “Wild”
***
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
WILL WIN:
“How To Train Your Dragon 2”
“Big Hero 6”
“Song Of The Sea”
“The Boxtrolls”
***
SHOULD WIN:
“How To Train Your Dragon 2”
“Big Hero 6”
“Song Of The Sea”
“The Boxtrolls”
***
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
WILL WIN:
“Birdman,” Emmanuel Lubezki
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Robert Yeoman
“Ida,” Lukasz Zal and Ryszard Lenczewski
“Mr. Turner,” Dick Pope
***
SHOULD WIN:
“Birdman,” Emmanuel Lubezki
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Robert Yeoman
“Mr. Turner,” Dick Pope
“Ida,” Lukasz Zal and Ryszard Lenczewski
***
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
WILL WIN:
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Milena Canonero
“Into The Woods,” Colleen Atwood
“Maleficent,” Anna B. Sheppard and Jane Clive
“Mr. Turner,” Jacqueline Durran
“Inherent Vice,” Mark Bridges
SHOULD WIN:
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Milena Canonero
“Into The Woods,” Colleen Atwood
“Inherent Vice,” Mark Bridges
“Maleficent,” Anna B. Sheppard and Jane Clive
“Mr. Turner,” Jacqueline Durran
BEST DIRECTING
WILL WIN:
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, “Birdman”
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Bennett Miller, “Foxcatcher”
***
SHOULD WIN:
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, “Birdman”
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Bennett Miller, “Foxcatcher”
***
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
WILL WIN:
“CitizenFour”
“Virunga”
“Finding Vivian Maier”
“Last Days In Vietnam”
***
SHOULD WIN:
“CitizenFour”
“Finding Vivian Maier”
“Last Days In Vietnam”
“Virunga”
***
BEST DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)
WILL WIN:
“Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1”
“Joanna”
“Our Curse”
“White Earth”
“The Reaper”
SHOULD WIN:
“Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1”
“Joanna”
“The Reaper”
“Our Curse”
“White Earth”
BEST FILM EDITING
WILL WIN:
“Boyhood,” Sandra Adair
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Barney Pilling
***
SHOULD WIN:
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Barney Pilling
“Boyhood,” Sandra Adair
***
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE
WILL WIN:
“Ida”
“Leviathan”
“Timbuktu”
“Tangerines”
***
SHOULD WIN:
“Leviathan”
“Tangerines”
“Ida”
“Timbuktu”
***
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
WILL WIN:
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Guardians Of The Galaxy”
“Foxcatcher”
SHOULD WIN:
“Guardians Of The Galaxy”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Foxcatcher”
BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
WILL WIN:
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Alexandre Desplat
“Interstellar,” Hans Zimmer
“Mr. Turner,” Gary Yershon
***
SHOULD WIN:
“Interstellar,” Hans Zimmer
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Alexandre Desplat
“Mr. Turner,” Gary Yershon
***
BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
WILL WIN:
“Glory” from “Selma”
“Everything Is Awesome” from “The Lego Movie”
“Lost Stars” from “Begin Again”
“Grateful” from “Beyond The Lights”
***
SHOULD WIN:
“Glory” from “Selma”
“Lost Stars” from “Begin Again”
“Grateful” from “Beyond The Lights”
“Everything Is Awesome” from “The Lego Movie”
***
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
WILL WIN:
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Into The Woods”
“Interstellar”
“Mr. Turner”
***
SHOULD WIN:
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Into The Woods”
“Mr. Turner”
“Interstellar”
***
BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
WILL WIN:
“Feast”
“The Dam Keeper”
“The Bigger Picture”
“Me And My Moulton”
“A Single Life”
SHOULD WIN:
“Feast”
“A Single Life”
“The Dam Keeper”
“The Bigger Picture”
“Me And My Moulton”
BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
WILL WIN:
“The Phone Call”
“Boogaloo And Graham”
“Parvaneh”
“Aya”
“Butter Lamp”
SHOULD WIN:
“Boogaloo And Graham”
“Aya”
“Butter Lamp”
“The Phone Call”
“Parvaneh”
BEST SOUND EDITING
WILL WIN:
“Interstellar”
“Birdman”
***
SHOULD WIN:
“Interstellar”
“Birdman”
***
BEST SOUND MIXING
WILL WIN:
“Birdman”
“Interstellar”
***
SHOULD WIN:
“Interstellar”
“Birdman”
***
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
WILL WIN:
“Interstellar”
“Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes”
“Guardians Of The Galaxy”
“Captain America: The Winter Soldier”
“X-Men: Days Of Future Past”
SHOULD WIN:
“Interstellar”
“Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes”
“Guardians Of The Galaxy”
“Captain America: The Winter Soldier”
“X-Men: Days Of Future Past”
BEST WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
WILL WIN:
“Inherent Vice,” Paul Thomas Anderson
***
SHOULD WIN:
“Inherent Vice,” Paul Thomas Anderson
***
BEST WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
WILL WIN:
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Wes Anderson & Hugo Guinness
“Birdman,” Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Jr., Armando Bo
“Boyhood,” Richard Linklater
“Nightcrawler,” Dan Gilroy
“Foxcatcher,” E. Max Frye and Dan Futterman
SHOULD WIN:
“Birdman,” Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Jr., Armando Bo
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Wes Anderson & Hugo Guinness