“Parasite” and Bong Joon-Ho won big at the 92nd Academy Awards, taking home a total of four awards including Best Picture, Best Directing, Best International Feature Film, and Best Original Screenplay. That makes this a historic night, as a non-English film has never won the top prize in the past 92 years. Add to that the fact that South Korea has never even been … Read More Oscars Watch: 92nd Academy Awards Winners
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Every time a “Star Wars” film comes out and John Williams does the score, he gets nominated. The man now has 52 Academy Award nominations. Needless to say, he will not be winning his sixth Oscar this year, as the scores for “1917” and “Joker” are the front-runners.
What a year it is when we’re talking about a Martin Scorsese film being “unlikely” to win Best Picture. Top that off with a film that’s garnering ten nominations, at least as far as my projections, is “unlikely” to win all ten. I expect “The Irishman” to be completely shut out this year and that’s absolutely bonkers when you think of how prestigious Scorsese is. But it just goes to show you what kind of year we’ve had for movies.
Let’s just bask in the fact that absolutely no one nominated for this film has ever been nominated for an Academy Award before. Even the country of South Korea had yet to even gain a nomination. Now Bong Joon Ho and the rest of his crew can get their names in the history books. And “Parasite” is actually one of the Big Three, with runner-up status as we speak. The only reason it’s not front and center is because “1917” has been cleaning up the awards, from the PGA to the DGA to the Globes. “Parasite” has done well in its own right, winning the SAG Ensemble award as well as Best International Film at the Globes. It simply depends where the Academy leans.
Heading into the awards season this year, it felt like “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood” might end up being the film to beat. However, then “1917” and “Parasite” came on the scene and started winning everything. Now, “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood” is still apart of the Big Three, remaining in the conversation, but being overshadowed by those other two films, which have been sweeping the season thus far.
I have seen every film nominated this year, including the shorts, and the below predictions are a meld of what’s been winning, what I want to win, and what I think will win. There’s upsets every year and the pundits never get everything 100% right, so I try to mix up some of my picks with ones I prefer or ones where my gut tells me something different than what the experts are picking. These are my best guesses, so take them for what they’re worth. If you need a disclaimer, just know that I’ve never won my prediction ballot at work.
Not apart of the Big Three (“1917,” “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood,” and “Parasite”) there’s very little chance for “Jojo Rabbit” to win. However, it is a front-runner in the Best Adapted Screenplay category after winning the WGA Award. Scarlett Johansson is still in contention for the Best Actress in a Supporting Role, although she’ll have to upset Laura Dern. The rest of the categories its nominated for seem fairly unlikely.
Chances are, it’s not going to win Best Picture, as three other film (“1917,” “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood,” and “Parasite”) seem to have a bigger claim to it, but it’s definitely in the range of possibilities for Joaquin Phoenix to win for Best Leading Actor and Hildur Guðnadóttir to win for Best Original Score.
As of right now, I have “Ford v Ferrari” winning two, possibly three, out of the four awards it’s nominated for. Yet, somehow, the experts place it dead last for the films in the Best Picture category. Other films, like “The Irishman” and “Little Women” I have winning zero awards and yet those are somehow ahead of “Ford v Ferrari.” That being said, there’s no way “Ford v Ferrari” wins Best Picture. The Big Three are currently “1917,” “Once Upon A Time In Hollywoood,” and “Parasite.”
Despite the uproar that director Greta Gerwig missed out on her directing nomination, “Little Women” holds very little chance of winning Best Picture. For one thing, it simply has not won anywhere else. On top of that, it’s been missing in places where it was favored to win, like the Writers Guild awards. The sympathy vote for Gerwig seems not existent and without that, it really stands no chance against the Big Three (“1917,” “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood,” and “Parasite”).
Experts place “1917” as the current odds-on favorite to win Best Picture. Apart of the “Big Three,” including “Parasite” and “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood,” “1917” leads them as the current front-runner. Right now, it seems the only way it won’t win is if “Parasite” ends up taking it all.
Instead of a performance like Jennifer Lopez in “Hustlers” getting the nomination, Kathy Bates ended up here with no chance of winning. Laura Dern has the front-runner status and the experts have Bates ranked last. I really wish JLo was here instead.