What a year it is when we’re talking about a Martin Scorsese film being “unlikely” to win Best Picture. Top that off with a film that’s garnering ten nominations, at least as far as my projections, is “unlikely” to win all ten. I expect “The Irishman” to be completely shut out this year and that’s absolutely bonkers when you think of how prestigious Scorsese is. But it just goes to show you what kind of year we’ve had for movies.
Tag: best picture
Let’s just bask in the fact that absolutely no one nominated for this film has ever been nominated for an Academy Award before. Even the country of South Korea had yet to even gain a nomination. Now Bong Joon Ho and the rest of his crew can get their names in the history books. And “Parasite” is actually one of the Big Three, with runner-up status as we speak. The only reason it’s not front and center is because “1917” has been cleaning up the awards, from the PGA to the DGA to the Globes. “Parasite” has done well in its own right, winning the SAG Ensemble award as well as Best International Film at the Globes. It simply depends where the Academy leans.
Heading into the awards season this year, it felt like “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood” might end up being the film to beat. However, then “1917” and “Parasite” came on the scene and started winning everything. Now, “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood” is still apart of the Big Three, remaining in the conversation, but being overshadowed by those other two films, which have been sweeping the season thus far.
Not apart of the Big Three (“1917,” “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood,” and “Parasite”) there’s very little chance for “Jojo Rabbit” to win. However, it is a front-runner in the Best Adapted Screenplay category after winning the WGA Award. Scarlett Johansson is still in contention for the Best Actress in a Supporting Role, although she’ll have to upset Laura Dern. The rest of the categories its nominated for seem fairly unlikely.
Chances are, it’s not going to win Best Picture, as three other film (“1917,” “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood,” and “Parasite”) seem to have a bigger claim to it, but it’s definitely in the range of possibilities for Joaquin Phoenix to win for Best Leading Actor and Hildur Guðnadóttir to win for Best Original Score.
As of right now, I have “Ford v Ferrari” winning two, possibly three, out of the four awards it’s nominated for. Yet, somehow, the experts place it dead last for the films in the Best Picture category. Other films, like “The Irishman” and “Little Women” I have winning zero awards and yet those are somehow ahead of “Ford v Ferrari.” That being said, there’s no way “Ford v Ferrari” wins Best Picture. The Big Three are currently “1917,” “Once Upon A Time In Hollywoood,” and “Parasite.”
Despite the uproar that director Greta Gerwig missed out on her directing nomination, “Little Women” holds very little chance of winning Best Picture. For one thing, it simply has not won anywhere else. On top of that, it’s been missing in places where it was favored to win, like the Writers Guild awards. The sympathy vote for Gerwig seems not existent and without that, it really stands no chance against the Big Three (“1917,” “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood,” and “Parasite”).
Experts place “1917” as the current odds-on favorite to win Best Picture. Apart of the “Big Three,” including “Parasite” and “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood,” “1917” leads them as the current front-runner. Right now, it seems the only way it won’t win is if “Parasite” ends up taking it all.
In the Best Picture category, there are currently the “big three,” which are the films with the best shot at winning. “Marriage Story” is not one of them. They include “1917,” “Parasite,” and “Once Upon A Time In Hollywood.” I would even say “The Irishman” falls in somewhere ahead of “Marriage Story” as well.
“A STAR IS BORN”Bill Gerber, Bradley Cooper and Lynette Howell Taylor Director: Bradley CooperProducers: Ceci Dempsey, Ed Guiney, Lee Magiday and Yorgos LanthimosWriters: Deborah Davis and Tony McNamaraCinematography: Robbie RyanEditor: Yorgos MavropsaridisComposer: Komeil S. HosseiniDistributor: Fox Searchlight PicturesRelease Date: November 23, 2018Budget: $15 millionRun-time: 120 minutes FILM SYNOPSIS: When rock star Jackson Maine meets struggling singer Ally, he is impressed by her talent and … Read More 2019 Oscars Challenge:  “A Star Is Born” – Eight Nominations
“VICE”Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Adam McKay and Kevin Messick Director: Adam McKayProducers: Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Kevin J. Messick, Will Ferrell, and Adam McKayWriter: Adam McKayCinematography: Greig FraserEditor: Hank CorwinComposer: Nicholas BritellDistributor: Annapurna PicturesRelease Date: December 25, 2018Budget: $60 millionRun-time: 132 minutes FILM SYNOPSIS: Dick Cheney rises from humble beginnings to the heights of politics, serving in cabinet positions, in the White … Read More 2019 Oscars Challenge:  “Vice” – Eight Nominations
“BLACK PANTHER”Kevin Feige Director: Ryan CooglerProducers: Kevin FeigeWriters: Ryan Coogler and Joe Robert ColeBased On: “Black Panther” by Stan Lee and Jack KirbyCinematography: Rachel MorrisonEditors: Michael P. Shawver and Debbie BermanComposer: Ludwig GöranssonProduction Company: Marvel StudiosDistributors: Walt Disney PicturesRelease Date: February 16, 2018Budget: $210 millionRun-time: 134 minutes FILM SYNOPSIS: After the death of his father, Prince T’Challa returns to his African homeland of Wakanda, … Read More 2019 Oscars Challenge:  “Black Panther” – Seven Nominations